Federal Reserve and rate path

Consecutive Fed pauses confirmed?

50% YES 50% NO

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Powell using the phrase “soft landing”?

50% YES 50% NO

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Inflation falling under 3% by year’s end?

50% YES 50% NO

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Early rate cuts arriving before end-2025?

50% YES 50% NO

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Fed opting for another rate hike next meeting?

50% YES 50% NO

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How many Fed cuts in 2025?

50% YES 50% NO

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Will the Fed cut at the next meeting?

50% YES 50% NO

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