Inflation prints (CPI/PCE)

Eurozone inflation falls to 2% in January

50% YES 50% NO

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Headline CPI rising 0.3% or more MoM?

50% YES 50% NO

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U.K. inflation trending lower this quarter?

50% YES 50% NO

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Eurozone CPI slipping below 2%?

50% YES 50% NO

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Inflation print missing market consensus?

50% YES 50% NO

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Core PCE breaking above 3%?

50% YES 50% NO

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U.S. CPI coming in hotter than expected?

50% YES 50% NO

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October CPI ≥ 3.2%?

50% YES 50% NO

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September CPI YoY will be ≥ X%?

50% YES 50% NO

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