Will humanoid robots begin commercial factory deployment?
Resolves YES if a major manufacturing company deploys humanoid robots for regular factory operations
Predictions
Will Samsung launch a fully AI-powered smartphone series?
Resolves YES if Samsung announces a smartphone lineup marketed primarily as AI-first devices.
Will Nvidia reach a $4 trillion market cap?
Resolves YES if Nvidia’s market capitalization exceeds $4 trillion on any major stock exchange before
Will Meta release a standalone AI assistant app?
Resolves YES if Meta launches a dedicated AI assistant application available publicly on major platforms.
Will Microsoft introduce AI agents in Windows updates?
Resolves YES if Microsoft announces or releases built-in AI agents or assistants integrated directly into Windows.
Will Apple release Vision Pro 2 in 2026?
Resolves YES if Apple announces a second generation Vision Pro headset before June 30, 2026.
Will Tesla launch a robotaxi service in a US city?
Resolves YES if Tesla launches a publicly accessible autonomous robotaxi service in any US city before August 31, 2026.
Will Google release Gemini Ultra 2 in 2026?
Resolves YES if Google launches or officially announces a next-generation Gemini Ultra AI model before November 30, 2026.
Will Apple unveil a foldable iPhone in 2026?
Resolves YES if Apple publicly announces a foldable iPhone device at any official event before September 15, 2026.
Will OpenAI release GPT-5 in 2026?
This prediction resolves YES if OpenAI officially releases or announces GPT-5 before December 31, 2026. Public confirmation through OpenAI announcements
