Will the US unemployment rate stay below 5% in 2026?
Resolves YES if the US unemployment rate remains under 5% in official labor statistics throughout 2026.
Resolves YES if the US unemployment rate remains under 5% in official labor statistics throughout 2026.
Resolves YES if global debt surpasses previous recorded levels according to IMF or World Bank reports.
Resolves YES if gold trades at or above $2,800 per ounce on major commodity exchanges.
Resolves YES if the IMF increases its official global GDP growth forecast during its 2026 updates.
Resolves YES if the global average inflation rate in 2026 is lower than the rate recorded in 2025.
Resolves YES if China’s official annual GDP growth rate for 2026 exceeds 5%.
Resolves YES if Brent crude oil trades above $110 per barrel on any trading day in 2026.
Resolves YES if the US does not experience two consecutive quarters of negative GDP growth during 2026.
Resolves YES if the US Federal Reserve announces at least one interest rate cut before September 30, 2026.
Resolves YES if the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) year-over-year inflation rate falls below 3% in any official release during